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1 forecast says Germany, Norway benefit from Russia absence

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Printed 1:05 a.m. ET Jan. 10, 2018 | Updated 2:26 a.m. ET Jan. 10, 2018

TOKYO (AP) — It really is still unclear how numerous Russian athletes will compete following thirty day period in the Pyeongchang Wintertime Olympics, but a few points seem to be sure.

Athletes from wintertime powers like Germany and Norway could pick up unexpected medals with some leading Russians absent mainly because a enormous doping scheme four decades back at the Sochi Online games.

A single medal forecast for Pyeongchang , compiled by Gracenote Sports, which refers to alone as a “athletics and enjoyment provider,” demonstrates the influence if Russian athletes are lacking.

Gracenote produced its medal-desk projection on Wednesday, this time taking away all Russians from the calculation. The U.S.-based company claimed it would release a remaining prediction just just before the Olympics open up on Feb. 9, this time like Russians who are recognised to be qualified and who will compete below the identify “Olympic Athlete from Russia” or OAR.

Their participation, of course, would reduce into the medal haul of other solid nations.

The Russian Olympic Committee claimed in December that “extra than 200” will meet up with the qualifying requirements. Having said that, the remaining determination, barring appeals to the based-Swiss Courtroom of Arbitration for Sport, will be in the palms of an IOC fee — the Fourneyron Fee.

Germany and Norway are the major winners devoid of Russia.

Gracenote forecasts Germany would gain 5 further medals, adopted by Norway with four. Canada, France and Japan would pick up two further medals. Finland, Britain, Italy, and the Netherlands would get just one every.

Germany’s further haul would force its medal-major total to 40 — 14 gold, 12 silver and 14 bronze. Norway is following with 37 general, but would also get 14 gold to tie Germany in that section.

Canada is predicted to get 3rd location with 33 general, adopted by the United States (29) and France (24).

— If Germany wins 40 medals, it would be the country’s most profitable total considering the fact that 2002 in Salt Lake Metropolis. Biathlon will net Germany’s greatest haul with 10 medals.

— These could be document-placing online games for Norway, which has never won extra than 29 general. Norway is forecast to gain a whopping 19 medals by itself in cross-state snowboarding.

— Canada and the United States are forecast to gain medals in 10 of the 15 athletics at the Wintertime Online games: Alpine snowboarding, biathlon, bobsled, cross-state snowboarding, curling, figure skating, freestyle snowboarding, ice hockey, luge, Nordic merged, brief-monitor speedskating, skeleton, ski jumping, snowboarding, speedskating.

— France is also on a document-placing rate, predicted to gain 24 medals — 9 around its document total in Sochi.

To determine its predictions, Gracenote weighs success in latest environment championships and other environment-class occasions, supplying extra body weight to the most latest.

At the 2016 Rio Olympics, Gracenote compliled a leading-eight listing in each willpower. It claimed 80 p.c of the eventual medalists arrived from these lists. It is expecting equivalent success for Pyeongchang.

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James Ellingworth in Moscow contributed to this report.

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Stephen Wade on Twitter: http://twitter.com/StephenWadeAP

His do the job can be found at: https://apnews.com/search/stephen%20wade

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