Arsenal vs Burnley Premier League preview, team news and prediction

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Heading into the final home game of the season with one of the softer fixtures on the schedule, Premier League leaders Arsenal welcome already-relegated Burnley on Monday night — and it could be their final match as runners-up rather than champions. A win for Mikel Arteta’s side could all but seal the title if Bournemouth help them out 24 hours later, while Burnley’s only remaining target is to avoid the embarrassment of finishing 20th.

Unsurprisingly, the Gunners go into this match as odds-on favourites at 1/12 with BetGoodwin while Sky Bet have the Clarets at 22/1 to produce one of the biggest shocks of the Premier League season and Paddy Power has 9/1 for a draw. You can also find more betting offers at the Mirror Betting Hubs Free Bets offers .

Few would have wanted to be in Chris Kavanagh and VAR official Darren England’s position at the London Stadium last weekend. In the dying moments of West Ham vs Arsenal, they were tasked with a call carrying huge implications at both ends of the table. Ultimately, it fell Arsenal’s way. West Ham forward Pablo was ruled to have fouled David Raya - even as Jean-Clair Todibo was also tugging at the goalkeeper’s shirt - during a chaotic corner, and Callum Wilson’s stoppage-time equaliser was chalked off.

Arsenal fans roared Kavanagh’s stadium announcement almost as loudly as they celebrated Leandro Trossard’s earlier strike, as the Gunners came through what looked their toughest remaining test — before welcoming Burnley and then facing a Crystal Palace side distracted by the Conference League on the final day.

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Manchester City’s comfortable win over Palace kept Arsenal’s lead to two points, but if Arteta’s men beat Burnley and City then fail to win at Bournemouth on Tuesday, Arsenal’s painful 22-year wait for another league title will finally end. Talk of an Arsenal collapse surfaced after they won just one of six matches between March 22 and April 19, but the hosts have steadied themselves with four wins in their last five, including three straight victories without conceding.

Burnley would therefore need a result for the ages in North London to make history, but the numbers point firmly the other way. Only bottom club Wolves have earned fewer away points than Burnley’s nine this season, and the Clarets have been the league’s worst travellers defensively, shipping 45 goals across 18 away games.

Unsurprisingly, they are still without an away clean sheet, though Mike Jackson’s side at least halted a five-match losing run with a creditable 2-2 draw against Aston Villa last weekend, leaving them three points clear of 20th-placed Wolves. Burnley meet Wolves in the final week in what could become a straight fight to avoid finishing last, although they would be guaranteed 19th if they avoid defeat at the Emirates and Wolves lose to Fulham on Sunday.

Even that feels unlikely, given Arsenal have lost just once in their last 19 league meetings with Burnley — and the Clarets have never scored more than once in a Premier League match against the title favourites.

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Arsenal’s win at West Ham came at a defensive cost, with Ben White suffering a season-ending knee injury and Riccardo Calafiori withdrawn at half-time with an unspecified issue. Mikel Arteta hopes Calafiori has avoided anything serious, but he is unlikely to be risked on Monday, while Jurrien Timber (groin) and Mikel Merino (foot) remain out.

With Declan Rice’s brief spell at right-back not working, Arteta is expected to bring in Cristhian Mosquera for White. Martin Odegaard is also pushing to start after setting up Leandro Trossard’s winner off the bench last weekend.

Burnley have an injury concern of their own after Hannibal Mejbri went off in the 69th minute, though Mike Jackson says he has “recovered well” and could be involved. Connor Roberts is close to a return after an Achilles lay-off, but Jordan Beyer (hamstring) and Josh Cullen (knee) are still sidelined.

Zian Flemming’s goal against Aston Villa took him to 10 for the season, making him only the fifth Burnley player to reach double figures in a Premier League campaign.

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